Over at red24 we have been tossing around a few triggers for a further escalation in the conflict in Iraq. Do you agree?
Peshmerga are convinced to enter the fight on the side of the ISF.
ISIL and allied militants take another governorate capital.
Turkey moves forces into Ninewa.
The US initiates air strikes.
Shiite militias are deployed north and west of Baghdad in great numbers.
A major refinery in the country is taken offline, for whatever reason.
ISF forces attempt to seize Kirkuk.
Iran deploys a larger number of troops to the country.
If these triggers are met, our baseline risk will likely change leading us to alter our advisory.
Do you agree?
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